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The Twelve States That Will Decide Election 2008

Between now and Election Day, you will see11  electoral  votes  in  Election  2008.
both Barack Obama and John McCain campaigning
almost exclusively in these twelve states. IfNo Republican has ever won the White House
you happen to live in any of these states,without winning Ohio's 20 electoral votes. In
you should be preparing yourself for a mediafact, no candidate has won the Presidency
blitz that will surely make you dream of awithout winning Ohio since 1960. Current
quiet, remote vacation long before Electionpolls show both political candidates in a
Day. Over the next several months, politicalstatistical  dead  heat in the Buckeye state.
pundits will refer to these dozen states as
the battleground for the 2008 PresidentialThe states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, and New
election.Mexico in total account for 28 electoral
votes. Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a modest
A combination of recent polling, state votinglead in recent polls in Colorado and New
demographics, and political history is aMexico. Both these states voted Republican in
powerful formula that can be used to predictthe 2004 Presidential election. John McCain
the likely outcome of thirty eight Americanmaintains a modest lead in Nevada while
states. In fact, if both candidates run aBarack Obama holds a lead in Iowa. If this
respectable and credible campaign, today'srecent trend continues, Nevada will vote for
polling results in these thirty eight statesthe same party as it did in 2004. However, a
should not be much different than the actualDemocratic win in Iowa would be a change from
results  on  Election  Day.the result in the Presidential election of
four  years  ago.
The truth is that when reviewing the 2008
electoral map, Republican John McCain can nowPennsylvania voted for the Democratic
count on 174 safe electoral votes, whilecandidate in each of the last two
Democrat Barack Obama can feel comfortablePresidential elections. However, the final
winning 204. Therefore, it is the voting inmargin of victory was very small. Recent
only twelve states, representing 160polls indicate another very close election in
electoral votes, that will ultimately2008  to  win the state's 21 electoral votes.
determine the outcome in this Presidential
election. An outcome that requires the nextMichigan has cast its 17 Electoral College
President of the United States to obtain avotes for the Democrats in each of the last
minimum of 270 electoral votes on Electionfour Presidential elections. However the
Day.margin of Democratic victory in 2004 was very
slim. Recent polls indicate another very
The twelve battleground states that willclose race between Barack Obama and John
decide the 2008 Presidential election are;McCain  in  2008.
Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Nevada, Colorado,
Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, NewAs far as the final three 2008 battleground
Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia. Let'sstates are concerned, Wisconsin's 10
briefly look at these battleground states inElectoral votes went Democratic by a very
the  2008  Presidential  election.close margin in the last Presidential
election. Recent polls show another very
Florida has voted Republican with its 27close vote is likely in 2008 as well. Both
electoral votes in each of the last twoVirginia and North Carolina (total of 28
Presidential elections. Of course, weelectoral votes) were found in the Republican
remember how close the voting was in 2000column four years ago. John McCain holds very
when a few thousand votes determined theslim leads in both states in public opinion
outcome for Republican President, George W.polls  at  the  current  time.
Bush. Currently, the state has a popular
Republican Governor in Charlie Crist, who isThe party primaries are now over and the fall
also a potential candidate for Vice PresidentPresidential election campaign is about to
on the Republican ticket. Recent publicbegin. During the next several months, there
opinion polls in Florida shows thatwill be televised debates, conventions, Vice
Republican John McCain has a double digitPresidential selections, and the usual give
lead  over  Democrat  Barack  Obama.and  take  of  any  Presidential  campaign.
Missouri almost always cast its ballot forHowever, the truth is that in order to win on
the candidate who wins the White House. InElection Day, each of the candidates have to
fact, with the exception of 1956, nowork to deliver the right political message.
candidate since 1904 ever has won aIt will need to be a message designed to win
Presidential election without winning thein America's political battleground, the
state of Missouri. Current polls indicate atwelve swing states of Election 2008.
dead heat in the race to capture Missouri's



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